R. D. Shelton

Professional Homepage

Duane Shelton leads small business startups that provide research and administrative services to the Federal Government.  His own research is on scientometrics and science policy.  He is particularly concerned with helping America maintain its lead in science and technology to ensure its national security--and with meeting his payroll.


What's New

  • Check out the new WTEC YouTube Channel at http://wtec.us

  • Springer has just published an new book in the WTEC series.  This one is on engineering concepts for biology.  If you search on "WTEC" at amazon.com, you will find several dozen such books and reports.


Duane's pix



Snail Mail and Landlines:

1653 Lititz Pike, 417
Lancaster, PA 17601

Email:         MyLastName * wtec DOT org



Personal Links: WTEC, YahooMail, Gmail, WTECMail.


World Technology Evaluation Center, Inc. (WTEC) President and Chairman of the Board

International Technology Research Institute, Inc. (ITRI) Member of the Board of Directors


Dissertations and Theses Supervised

Some Papers Before the Web Was Born

WTEC Report Archive

Avocations, 1994-2010:

Benchmark Technologies Abroad: Findings from 40 Assessments 1984-94.  Baltimore: ITRI. April, 1994. Report

American Leadership of Science and Technology: Reality or Myth? Presented at the S&T 2000 Conference, Leiden, The Netherlands, May 24-27, 2000.  With Brad Mooney and Geoff Holdridge. PaperSlides.

The US-EU Race for Leadership of Science and Technology: Quantitative and Qualitative Indicators  Paper , Slides. Scientometrics , 60 (3) 353-363. (2004).   Also 9th International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics, Beijing, Aug., 2003. With G. Holdridge.

Relations Between National Research Investment Input and Publication Output: Application to an American Paradox, 9th International Conference on S&T Indicators, Leuven, Sept., 2006 and Scientometrics  74 (2), 191-205, Feb., 2008.

National Efficiencies in Publishing Scientific Papers.  10th International Conference on S&T Indicators, Vienna, Sept. 2008.  With P. Foland.

Do New SCI Journals have a Different National Bias?  11th International Conference of the International Society for Scientometrics and Informetrics, Madrid, June, 2007, and  Scientometrics 79 (1-2) April - May, 2009.  With P. Foland and R. Gorelskyy.

The Race for World Leadership of Science and Technology: Status and ForecastsScience Focus 5 (1) pp. 1-9 (Feb. 2010) in Chinese.  Also, Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics, pp. 369-380, Rio de Janeiro, July, 2009.  With P. Foland.  

Why is Europe so Efficient at Publishing Scientific Papers, And Does This Explain the European Paradox? 11th International Conference on S&T Indicators, Leiden, Sept. 2010.  With P. Foland.



Bibliometric Evidence for Empirical Trade-offs in National Funding Strategies, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics, pp. 763-774. July, 2011, Durban. SlideShow With L. Leydesdorff.

Why the US Lost Leadership in the Scientific Paper Indicator. Atlanta Conference on Science and Innovation Policy, Sept., 2011. With L. Miller.

Scientometric Secrets of Efficient Countries: Turkey, Greece, Poland, and Slovakia, Collnet Conference, Istanbul, Sept., 2011. SlideShow With H. Ali.

Scientometrics and the Diplomacy of Science, First International Conference of the Pyongyang University of Science and Technology. Pyongyang, Oct. 2011. With L. Miller.

Publish or Patent: Bibliometric Evidence for Empirical Trade-offs in National Funding Strategies. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. 63(3): 498-511. With L. Leydesdorff. (2012)

Input-Output Modeling and Simulation of Scientific Indicators: A Focus on Patents, Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Science and Technology Indicators, pp. 756-767. Montreal, September 5-8, 2012. Slideshow With S. Monbo.

Scientific Collaboration as a Window and Door onto North Korea. Presented at the 13th Collnet Conference, Seoul, October 23-26, 2012. Slideshow Scientometrics 97:1 3-11, Sept., 2013. With Grant Lewison.

Validation of Forecasts of Scientific Indicators: The Case of National Leadership. Atlanta Conference on Science and Innovation Policy, September, 2013. SlideShow



Scientometric Insight on a Bottom Line of Innovation: High-Technology Manufacturing. Presented at Collnet 2014 in Ilmenau, Germany, September, 2014.   SlideShow With Tarek Fadel.

Causal Connections Between Scientometric Indicators: Which Ones Best Explain High-Technology Manufacturing Outputs?Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics, pp 662-672. Istanbul, June, 2015. SlideShow With Patricia Foland and Tarek Fadel.

The Research Group as a Unit of Aggregation.  Presented at Collnet 2016, Dec. 12, 2016, Nancy, France. With Patricia Foland and Michael Stopa. Paper

Model-Based Forecasts of Scientific Indicators: China Will Soon Lead the World in Scientific Publications.  Presented at Collnet 2017, July, 2017, Canterbury, England. With Patricia Foland. Paper

China as Number 1: A Case for China's Resuming World Leadership of Science and Technology. To be presented at the ISSI Conference in Wuhan.  October, 2017. Paper. With A. Basu, P. Foland, & G. Holdridge.







© 2017 R. D. Shelton, Last updated  8/25/17